Esiliiga B — Estonia
Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 16:00 • Heino Lipp Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.35 (league 2.13) 2.20 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 15.4% 21.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.4%
2 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Narva U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Johvi Phoenix 0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
2 2.2% 4.8% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
3 2.4% 5.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
4 2.0% 4.5% 4.9% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
5 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJohvi PhoenixNarva U21
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack92%63%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)22 | 4.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

65%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Johvi Phoenix Narva U21
HATHAT
Played161531141529
Wins63%60%61%71%53%62%
Draws19%13%16%0%13%7%
Loses19%27%23%29%33%31%

Form: Johvi Phoenix: WLDWDWWWLDDWLLWWWWLWWLWWWLWDWWW • Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Johvi Phoenix Narva U21
HATHAT
GF total543589353671
GF avg3.42.32.92.52.42.4
GA total292554133144
GA avg1.81.71.70.92.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJohvi PhoenixNarva U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%86%62%
1.581%52%62%34%
2.568%23%52%17%
3.523%6%31%10%
4.513%3%10%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJohvi PhoenixNarva U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets1237411
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricJohvi PhoenixNarva U21
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total75

Streaks

MetricJohvi PhoenixNarva U21
Wins44
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-11-46-01-5
Biggest losses3-54-20-211-1
Goals For8465
Goals Against54411

Model comparison

MetricJohvi PhoenixNarva U21
Form57%43%
Att59%41%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Johvi Phoenix or draw and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Betano
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ Unibet
No3.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Johvi Phoenix = 3.35 (league 2.13), Narva U21 = 2.20 (league 1.96)

Narva U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Johvi Phoenix 0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
2 2.2% 4.8% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
3 2.4% 5.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
4 2.0% 4.5% 4.9% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
5 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1