Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.53)
1.17 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.5% | 25.5% | 29.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marítimo W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valadares Gaia W | 0 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 62% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 80% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 20% | 25% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
Form: Valadares Gaia W: WDLLWDWW • Marítimo W: LWLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 38% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Valadares Gaia W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Valadares Gaia W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Valadares Gaia W = 1.51 (league 1.53), Marítimo W = 1.17 (league 1.71)
| Marítimo W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Valadares Gaia W | 0 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 29.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1