Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.51)
0.82 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.6% | 13.8% | 8.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Marítimo W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP W | 0 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 90% | 90% |
| Defense | 70% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 40% | 71% | 58% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 40% | 29% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 8% | 67% | 50% | 58% |
Form: Sporting CP W: WWDWLDWDWDWW • Marítimo W: LWLDLLLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 17% | 42% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 8% | 17% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-6 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Marítimo W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP W = 2.75 (league 1.51), Marítimo W = 0.82 (league 1.58)
| Marítimo W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP W | 0 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 8.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1