Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:00 •
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.49)
1.17 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 27.5% | 34.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Braga W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP W | 0 | 8.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 82% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 63% | 57% | 0% | 57% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 71% | 14% | 43% |
| Loses | 17% | 13% | 14% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Form: Sporting CP W: WWDWLDWDWDWWWL • Braga W: LDLWWDLDLWDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 4 | 16 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting CP W | Braga W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 50% | 79% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 21% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 7% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-6 | — | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting CP W | Braga W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Braga W and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP W = 1.25 (league 1.49), Braga W = 1.17 (league 1.57)
| Braga W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP W | 0 | 8.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 34.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1