Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • Academia Vitoria SC
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.54) 1.10 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 32.9% 50.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 0
20.2%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Valadares Gaia W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 0 20.2% 22.2% 12.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitoria Guimaraes WValadares Gaia W
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack18%55%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes W Valadares Gaia W
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%0%21%29%57%43%
Draws29%71%50%29%29%29%
Loses29%29%29%43%14%29%

Form: Vitoria Guimaraes W: LDDDWDWLWDLLDD • Valadares Gaia W: WDLLWDWWLWDLDW

League goals

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes W Valadares Gaia W
HATHAT
GF total86149918
GF avg1.10.91.01.31.31.3
GA total9112012517
GA avg1.31.61.41.70.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitoria Guimaraes WValadares Gaia W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%79%64%
1.521%21%43%36%
2.57%14%7%14%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitoria Guimaraes WValadares Gaia W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213145
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricVitoria Guimaraes WValadares Gaia W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricVitoria Guimaraes WValadares Gaia W
Wins12
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-01-3
Biggest losses1-55-11-42-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against5542

Model comparison

MetricVitoria Guimaraes WValadares Gaia W
Form27%73%
Att25%75%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Valadares Gaia W and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitoria Guimaraes W = 0.50 (league 1.54), Valadares Gaia W = 1.10 (league 1.54)

Valadares Gaia W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 0 20.2% 22.2% 12.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1