Azadegan League
— Iran
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 11:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 0.98)
0.53 (league 0.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.5% | 38.6% | 21.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fard Alborz | 0 | 26.1% | 13.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 23% | 38% |
| Defense | 77% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 40% | 60% | 50% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Fard Alborz: LDWWDLWDDD • Navad Urmia: WDLDDWDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fard Alborz | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.3% | 51.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Fard Alborz or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fard Alborz = 0.82 (league 0.98), Navad Urmia = 0.53 (league 0.69)
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fard Alborz | 0 | 26.1% | 13.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 21.8%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1