Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 19:00 •
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.47)
0.05 (league 0.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3% | 26.2% | 1.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
33.2%
0 - 0
24.5%
2 - 0
22.5%
Score & goals probability table
| ADIFFEM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Lima W | 0 | 24.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 0% |
| Attack | 17% | 0% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Alianza Lima W: DL • ADIFFEM: LL
League goals
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alianza Lima W | ADIFFEM |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Alianza Lima W or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alianza Lima W = 1.36 (league 1.47), ADIFFEM = 0.05 (league 0.42)
| ADIFFEM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alianza Lima W | 0 | 24.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 1.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1