Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.19) 1.77 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.0% 21.8% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 2
16.1%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA River Plate 0 10.3% 18.2% 16.1% 9.5% 4.2% 1.5%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCA River PlateLiverpool Montevideo
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CA River Plate Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins0%0%0%60%25%44%
Draws40%25%33%40%25%33%
Loses60%75%67%0%50%22%

Form: CA River Plate: DLLLLLDLD • Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDDLW

League goals

Metric CA River Plate Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total2138412
GF avg0.40.30.31.61.01.3
GA total86144610
GA avg1.61.51.60.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCA River PlateLiverpool Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.522%78%89%67%
1.511%56%44%33%
2.50%22%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCA River PlateLiverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score437101

Penalties

MetricCA River PlateLiverpool Montevideo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCA River PlateLiverpool Montevideo
Wins02
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1
Biggest losses0-32-03-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricCA River PlateLiverpool Montevideo
Form20%80%
Att27%73%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool Montevideo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): CA River Plate = 0.51 (league 1.19), Liverpool Montevideo = 1.77 (league 0.91)

Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA River Plate 0 10.3% 18.2% 16.1% 9.5% 4.2% 1.5%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.0% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 67.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1