Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Belvedere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.16) 1.10 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 11.0% 8.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
7.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.3% 7.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack78%33%
Defense22%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Racing Montevideo
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%40%50%17%50%30%
Draws40%20%30%33%0%20%
Loses0%40%20%50%50%50%

Form: Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDDLWW • Racing Montevideo: WWLLLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Racing Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total8513257
GF avg1.61.01.30.31.30.7
GA total461061016
GA avg0.81.21.01.02.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%40%70%
1.540%30%20%40%
2.50%10%10%30%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224303
Failed to score101426

Penalties

MetricLiverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLiverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
Wins22
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-02-3
Biggest losses—3-11-44-0
Goals For2113
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricLiverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
Form62%38%
Att70%30%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Winner : Liverpool Montevideo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool Montevideo = 3.44 (league 1.16), Racing Montevideo = 1.10 (league 0.94)

Racing Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.3% 7.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1