Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 16:00 • Parque Artigas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.10) 0.24 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 41.8% 10.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.8%
1 - 0
28.5%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
CA River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 34.8% 8.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 6.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudCA River Plate
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack0%19%
Defense81%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventud CA River Plate
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%20%30%0%0%0%
Draws20%20%20%33%25%30%
Loses40%60%50%67%75%70%

Form: Juventud: LLWWWLLLDD • CA River Plate: DLLLLLDLDL

League goals

Metric Juventud CA River Plate
HATHAT
GF total325213
GF avg0.60.40.50.30.30.3
GA total4489615
GA avg0.80.80.81.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudCA River Plate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%20%80%
1.510%20%10%50%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudCA River Plate
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score336538

Penalties

MetricJuventudCA River Plate
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJuventudCA River Plate
Wins30
Draws01
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses0-22-10-32-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricJuventudCA River Plate
Form50%50%
Att0%100%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h40%60%
Goals55%45%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Juventud or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Bet365
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away5.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Juventud = 0.82 (league 1.10), CA River Plate = 0.24 (league 1.02)

CA River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 34.8% 8.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 6.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1