Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.19) 1.86 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 19.6% 29.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Club Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Danubio 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDanubioClub Nacional
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack71%71%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Danubio Club Nacional
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins75%17%40%83%50%70%
Draws0%17%10%17%25%20%
Loses25%67%50%0%25%10%

Form: Danubio: DWLLLWWLWL • Club Nacional: WLWDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Danubio Club Nacional
HATHAT
GF total1131416521
GF avg2.80.51.42.71.32.1
GA total5611549
GA avg1.31.01.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDanubioClub Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%70%60%
1.550%30%70%20%
2.510%10%50%10%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDanubioClub Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score044123

Penalties

MetricDanubioClub Nacional
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDanubioClub Nacional
Wins24
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-25-20-3
Biggest losses2-32-03-0
Goals For5253
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricDanubioClub Nacional
Form41%59%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h7%93%
Goals14%86%
Total34.0%66.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Club Nacional

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away1.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Danubio = 2.36 (league 1.19), Club Nacional = 1.86 (league 0.91)

Club Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Danubio 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.9% 3.5% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 29.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1