Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.16) 0.72 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.7% 25.5% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canuelas 0 10.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCanuelasLugano
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack89%56%
Defense56%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Canuelas Lugano
HATHAT
Played131427131225
Wins38%14%26%31%17%24%
Draws31%50%41%31%33%32%
Loses31%36%33%38%50%44%

Form: Canuelas: LDWDLLLWDWDDDDWDDDLLLLWDLWW • Lugano: WWDLWLLDLLWLDDWLLWDLDDLDL

League goals

Metric Canuelas Lugano
HATHAT
GF total1582312921
GF avg1.20.60.90.90.80.8
GA total111324141832
GA avg0.80.90.91.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCanuelasLugano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%60%72%
1.522%19%24%44%
2.54%11%0%12%
3.54%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCanuelasLugano
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612617
Failed to score57125510

Penalties

MetricCanuelasLugano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCanuelasLugano
Wins12
Draws42
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-11-33-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCanuelasLugano
Form77%23%
Att62%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h85%15%
Goals79%21%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Double chance : Canuelas or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away4.31 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Canuelas = 1.55 (league 1.16), Lugano = 0.72 (league 0.89)

Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canuelas 0 10.3% 7.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1