Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 19:00 • Leonardo Costa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31) 0.34 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 42.5% 15.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
1 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Linqueño 0 33.3% 11.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl LinqueñoGimnasia Chivilcoy
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack73%64%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Linqueño Gimnasia Chivilcoy
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins46%14%30%71%7%39%
Draws38%29%33%14%64%39%
Loses15%57%37%14%29%21%

Form: El Linqueño: LDLLDLDDLWWLWLWDDDWDLWDLWLW • Gimnasia Chivilcoy: WDWDWWDWDDLDDDLDWWLWDWDWLWLL

League goals

Metric El Linqueño Gimnasia Chivilcoy
HATHAT
GF total14132722729
GF avg1.10.91.01.60.51.0
GA total62026111324
GA avg0.51.41.00.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl LinqueñoGimnasia Chivilcoy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%59%68%54%
1.526%26%29%25%
2.57%11%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl LinqueñoGimnasia Chivilcoy
HATHAT
Clean sheets92116713
Failed to score549189

Penalties

MetricEl LinqueñoGimnasia Chivilcoy
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricEl LinqueñoGimnasia Chivilcoy
Wins22
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-11-33-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricEl LinqueñoGimnasia Chivilcoy
Form54%46%
Att53%47%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : El Linqueño or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.51 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Linqueño = 0.76 (league 1.31), Gimnasia Chivilcoy = 0.34 (league 0.73)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Linqueño 0 33.3% 11.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 42.5% · Away win 15.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1