Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.65)
1.28 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.0% | 28.3% | 43.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| São Paulo U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária U20 | 0 | 10.6% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 83% |
| Defense | 72% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 58% | 90% | 44% | 68% |
| Draws | 20% | 22% | 21% | 0% | 44% | 21% |
| Loses | 30% | 11% | 21% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
Form: Ferroviária U20: WWLWWWLDDWLWWLWDWDW • São Paulo U20: DWLDWWWWWWWWWLWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 44 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 68% | 79% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | 74% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 11% | 37% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 26% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 88.89% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 11.11% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 7-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | São Paulo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or São Paulo U20
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferroviária U20 = 0.97 (league 1.65), São Paulo U20 = 1.28 (league 1.31)
| São Paulo U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária U20 | 0 | 10.6% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 43.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1