Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio La Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.30) 0.78 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 29.1% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Huila
0 1 2 3 4 5
Patriotas 0 12.8% 10.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPatriotasHuila
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack67%40%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Patriotas Huila
HATHAT
Played181937181735
Wins67%47%57%61%35%49%
Draws22%16%19%17%35%26%
Loses11%37%24%22%29%26%

Form: Patriotas: WDWWDWWWLWWDWLLWLDWLWWDLLWLWDWLDWWWWW • Huila: LWDLWWDWWWWDDWLDWDWLLWWLWDDWWLDLLWW

League goals

Metric Patriotas Huila
HATHAT
GF total272047251843
GF avg1.51.11.31.41.11.2
GA total102030141832
GA avg0.61.10.80.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePatriotasHuila
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%59%71%63%
1.543%16%37%23%
2.514%5%14%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPatriotasHuila
HATHAT
Clean sheets96159413
Failed to score47114610

Penalties

MetricPatriotasHuila
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPatriotasHuila
Wins34
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-23-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricPatriotasHuila
Form68%32%
Att63%38%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total63.7%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Patriotas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away5.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Patriotas = 1.27 (league 1.30), Huila = 0.78 (league 0.84)

Huila
0 1 2 3 4 5
Patriotas 0 12.8% 10.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1