Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Alfredo di Stefano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.94 (league 1.82) 0.64 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 2.9% 1.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.4%
5 - 0
9.3%
3 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid WParis FC W
Played44
Form100%42%
Attack100%31%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 3.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 16 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid W Paris FC W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Real Madrid W: WWWW • Paris FC W: DWDL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid W Paris FC W
HATHAT
GF total9413224
GF avg4.52.03.31.01.01.0
GA total224246
GA avg1.01.01.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid WParis FC W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%50%50%
1.5100%25%50%50%
2.550%0%0%25%
3.525%0%0%25%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid WParis FC W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid WParis FC W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid WParis FC W
Wins41
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-2—0-2
Biggest losses———4-0
Goals For6222
Goals Against2124

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid WParis FC W
Form71%29%
Att76%24%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Real Madrid W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Betano
Draw7.50 @ Bet365
Away11.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid W = 4.94 (league 1.82), Paris FC W = 0.64 (league 1.57)

Paris FC W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 1.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1