Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Jocay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.31) 1.25 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 28.3% 41.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
El Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Delfin SC 0 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDelfin SCEl Nacional
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack25%25%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Delfin SC El Nacional
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%13%20%33%27%30%
Draws47%40%43%13%33%23%
Loses27%47%37%53%40%47%

Form: Delfin SC: LWDLDLDLDLDWWWDWDWLDLLDDLLDDLD • El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Delfin SC El Nacional
HATHAT
GF total131326131932
GF avg0.90.90.90.91.31.1
GA total152742232346
GA avg1.01.81.41.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDelfin SCEl Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%67%60%77%
1.527%40%30%40%
2.57%23%17%20%
3.50%7%0%13%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDelfin SCEl Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310437
Failed to score86147512

Penalties

MetricDelfin SCEl Nacional
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricDelfin SCEl Nacional
Wins33
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-54-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against4554

Model comparison

MetricDelfin SCEl Nacional
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or El Nacional

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ 188Bet
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Delfin SC = 1.03 (league 1.31), El Nacional = 1.25 (league 1.04)

El Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Delfin SC 0 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 41.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1