Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio George Capwell
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.35) 1.07 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 32.2% 43.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emelec 0 16.6% 17.7% 9.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 12.9% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmelecDeportivo Cuenca
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack75%63%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emelec Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%40%37%47%40%43%
Draws33%27%30%20%27%23%
Loses33%33%33%33%33%33%

Form: Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLWD • Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWLL

League goals

Metric Emelec Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
GF total141630201535
GF avg0.91.11.01.31.01.2
GA total161834131629
GA avg1.11.21.10.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmelecDeportivo Cuenca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%70%73%60%
1.523%30%30%23%
2.57%7%10%10%
3.57%7%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmelecDeportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Clean sheets6395712
Failed to score6511448

Penalties

MetricEmelecDeportivo Cuenca
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricEmelecDeportivo Cuenca
Wins34
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-44-11-3
Biggest losses0-42-00-34-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against4234

Model comparison

MetricEmelecDeportivo Cuenca
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Emelec or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 188Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emelec = 0.73 (league 1.35), Deportivo Cuenca = 1.07 (league 1.03)

Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emelec 0 16.6% 17.7% 9.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 12.9% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 43.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1