Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Bellavista
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.31) 1.06 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.5% 30.5% 36.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Aucas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macara 0 13.1% 13.9% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacaraAucas
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack60%33%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macara Aucas
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins20%40%30%53%20%37%
Draws40%33%37%20%33%27%
Loses40%27%33%27%47%37%

Form: Macara: WWDDDLLLDLLLDWDLWDWLLLDDWWDWDW • Aucas: WLDDWLDWLWWWDLWDLWLWLWLWLLLDDD

League goals

Metric Macara Aucas
HATHAT
GF total122032231538
GF avg0.81.31.11.51.01.3
GA total171330172441
GA avg1.10.91.01.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacaraAucas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%90%70%
1.527%13%30%37%
2.510%7%3%17%
3.53%7%3%7%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacaraAucas
HATHAT
Clean sheets358639
Failed to score5510123

Penalties

MetricMacaraAucas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMacaraAucas
Wins23
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-44-10-1
Biggest losses1-44-31-46-2
Goals For2442
Goals Against4446

Model comparison

MetricMacaraAucas
Form79%21%
Att64%36%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Macara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macara = 0.97 (league 1.31), Aucas = 1.06 (league 1.04)

Aucas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macara 0 13.1% 13.9% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 36.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1