Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.31) 1.16 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 26.6% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.9%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aucas 0 8.0% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAucasEmelec
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack31%56%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aucas Emelec
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins53%19%35%38%40%39%
Draws20%31%26%31%27%29%
Loses27%50%39%31%33%32%

Form: Aucas: WLDDWLDWLWWWDLWDLWLWLWLWLLLDDDL • Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Aucas Emelec
HATHAT
GF total231740171633
GF avg1.51.11.31.11.11.1
GA total172744171835
GA avg1.11.71.41.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAucasEmelec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%71%65%71%
1.532%39%26%29%
2.53%19%10%6%
3.53%6%6%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAucasEmelec
HATHAT
Clean sheets639639
Failed to score1236511

Penalties

MetricAucasEmelec
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total07

Streaks

MetricAucasEmelec
Wins33
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-14-02-4
Biggest losses1-46-20-42-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against4642

Model comparison

MetricAucasEmelec
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aucas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aucas = 1.37 (league 1.31), Emelec = 1.16 (league 1.04)

Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aucas 0 8.0% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1