Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 00:00 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.31) 1.44 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 26.9% 51.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 10.4% 15.0% 10.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.5% 5.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl NacionalDeportivo Cuenca
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack27%45%
Defense0%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Nacional Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins33%25%29%47%38%42%
Draws13%38%26%20%25%23%
Loses53%38%45%33%38%35%

Form: El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLD • Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWLLL

League goals

Metric El Nacional Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
GF total132134201636
GF avg0.91.31.11.31.01.2
GA total232548131932
GA avg1.51.61.50.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl NacionalDeportivo Cuenca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%77%74%61%
1.532%42%29%26%
2.516%19%10%13%
3.50%13%3%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl NacionalDeportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375712
Failed to score7512448

Penalties

MetricEl NacionalDeportivo Cuenca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricEl NacionalDeportivo Cuenca
Wins34
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-54-00-34-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricEl NacionalDeportivo Cuenca
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total39.7%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Cuenca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Nacional = 0.82 (league 1.31), Deportivo Cuenca = 1.44 (league 1.04)

Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 10.4% 15.0% 10.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.5% 5.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 51.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1