Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 20:30 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.35) 2.33 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.9% 14.8% 76.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.5%
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 3
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Macara
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 6.1% 14.1% 16.5% 12.8% 7.4% 3.5%
1 2.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6%
2 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl NacionalMacara
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack18%100%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Nacional Macara
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins31%25%28%25%44%34%
Draws13%38%25%38%31%34%
Loses56%38%47%38%25%31%

Form: El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLDL • Macara: WWDDDLLLDLLLDWDLWDWLLLDDWWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric El Nacional Macara
HATHAT
GF total132134152439
GF avg0.81.31.10.91.51.2
GA total252550191332
GA avg1.61.61.61.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl NacionalMacara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%78%69%72%
1.531%44%31%16%
2.516%19%16%6%
3.50%13%6%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl NacionalMacara
HATHAT
Clean sheets437369
Failed to score85135510

Penalties

MetricEl NacionalMacara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEl NacionalMacara
Wins32
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-20-4
Biggest losses0-54-01-44-3
Goals For3334
Goals Against5444

Model comparison

MetricEl NacionalMacara
Form7%93%
Att13%87%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total20.5%79.5%

Advice: Winner : Macara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Nacional = 0.47 (league 1.35), Macara = 2.33 (league 1.03)

Macara
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 6.1% 14.1% 16.5% 12.8% 7.4% 3.5%
1 2.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6%
2 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 76.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1