Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Bellavista
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.35) 1.16 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 30.8% 46.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macara 0 15.0% 17.5% 10.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacaraEmelec
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack100%73%
Defense45%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macara Emelec
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins25%41%33%41%38%39%
Draws38%29%33%29%31%30%
Loses38%29%33%29%31%30%

Form: Macara: WWDDDLLLDLLLDWDLWDWLLLDDWWDWDWWWL • Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLWDWDW

League goals

Metric Macara Emelec
HATHAT
GF total152439181634
GF avg0.91.41.21.11.01.0
GA total191534171835
GA avg1.20.91.01.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacaraEmelec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%64%67%
1.530%18%24%27%
2.515%6%9%6%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacaraEmelec
HATHAT
Clean sheets3697411
Failed to score56116612

Penalties

MetricMacaraEmelec
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricMacaraEmelec
Wins33
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-44-02-4
Biggest losses1-42-00-42-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against4442

Model comparison

MetricMacaraEmelec
Form48%52%
Att58%42%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Emelec

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macara = 0.73 (league 1.35), Emelec = 1.16 (league 1.03)

Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macara 0 15.0% 17.5% 10.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1