Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 00:00 • Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.35) 1.22 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.1% 29.4% 44.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Macara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 12.4% 15.2% 9.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo CuencaMacara
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack33%87%
Defense40%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Cuenca Macara
HATHAT
Played161834171734
Wins44%39%41%29%41%35%
Draws19%22%21%35%29%32%
Loses38%39%38%35%29%32%

Form: Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWLLLWLL • Macara: WWDDDLLLDLLLDWDLWDWLLLDDWWDWDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Cuenca Macara
HATHAT
GF total211839182442
GF avg1.31.01.11.11.41.2
GA total152136191534
GA avg0.91.21.11.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo CuencaMacara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%62%68%71%
1.529%29%32%18%
2.59%12%18%6%
3.53%3%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo CuencaMacara
HATHAT
Clean sheets58134610
Failed to score4595611

Penalties

MetricDeportivo CuencaMacara
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricDeportivo CuencaMacara
Wins43
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-01-42-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo CuencaMacara
Form20%80%
Att28%72%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Macara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away4.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Cuenca = 0.86 (league 1.35), Macara = 1.22 (league 1.03)

Macara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 12.4% 15.2% 9.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1