Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.35) 1.36 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 25.4% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
El Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo CuencaEl Nacional
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack20%45%
Defense55%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Cuenca El Nacional
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins41%39%40%39%24%31%
Draws18%22%20%11%41%26%
Loses41%39%40%50%35%43%

Form: Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWLLLWLLL • El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLDLWDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Cuenca El Nacional
HATHAT
GF total211839172441
GF avg1.21.01.10.91.41.2
GA total172138262854
GA avg1.01.21.11.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo CuencaEl Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%63%63%77%
1.529%31%37%43%
2.59%11%17%20%
3.53%3%0%11%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo CuencaEl Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets5813538
Failed to score55108513

Penalties

MetricDeportivo CuencaEl Nacional
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricDeportivo CuencaEl Nacional
Wins43
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-54-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo CuencaEl Nacional
Form27%73%
Att31%69%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Cuenca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away5.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Cuenca = 1.42 (league 1.35), El Nacional = 1.36 (league 1.03)

El Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 6.2% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1