Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio George Capwell
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.35) 1.07 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 27.7% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aucas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emelec 0 9.4% 10.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmelecAucas
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack25%75%
Defense70%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emelec Aucas
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins41%33%37%50%24%37%
Draws29%28%29%28%29%29%
Loses29%39%34%22%47%34%

Form: Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLWDWDWLL • Aucas: WLDDWLDWLWWWDLWDLWLWLWLWLLLDDDLDWDW

League goals

Metric Emelec Aucas
HATHAT
GF total181735341953
GF avg1.10.91.01.91.11.5
GA total172340202848
GA avg1.01.31.11.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmelecAucas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%69%89%69%
1.523%31%37%37%
2.59%9%9%20%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmelecAucas
HATHAT
Clean sheets74118311
Failed to score6713224

Penalties

MetricEmelecAucas
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total80

Streaks

MetricEmelecAucas
Wins33
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-48-01-2
Biggest losses0-43-01-46-2
Goals For4482
Goals Against4346

Model comparison

MetricEmelecAucas
Form47%53%
Att25%75%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total43.2%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aucas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emelec = 1.30 (league 1.35), Aucas = 1.07 (league 1.03)

Aucas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emelec 0 9.4% 10.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1