Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.36) 1.08 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 24.3% 24.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aucas 0 6.3% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAucasDeportivo Cuenca
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack100%80%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aucas Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins50%28%39%44%39%42%
Draws28%28%28%17%22%19%
Loses22%44%33%39%39%39%

Form: Aucas: WLDDWLDWLWWWDLWDLWLWLWLWLLLDDDLDWDWW • Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWLLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Aucas Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
GF total342155261844
GF avg1.91.21.51.41.01.2
GA total202848172138
GA avg1.11.61.30.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAucasDeportivo Cuenca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%72%61%
1.539%36%31%31%
2.58%19%11%11%
3.56%6%6%3%
4.53%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAucasDeportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Clean sheets84126814
Failed to score2245510

Penalties

MetricAucasDeportivo Cuenca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAucasDeportivo Cuenca
Wins34
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-25-01-3
Biggest losses1-46-20-34-0
Goals For8253
Goals Against4634

Model comparison

MetricAucasDeportivo Cuenca
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aucas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Bet365
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away4.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aucas = 1.67 (league 1.36), Deportivo Cuenca = 1.08 (league 1.01)

Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aucas 0 6.3% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1