Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Bellavista
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.33) 1.44 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 23.9% 33.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
El Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macara 0 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacaraEl Nacional
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%70%
Defense80%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macara El Nacional
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins33%44%39%39%22%31%
Draws33%28%31%11%39%25%
Loses33%28%31%50%39%44%

Form: Macara: WWDDDLLLDLLLDWDLWDWLLLDDWWDWDWWWLWWW • El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLDLWDWL

League goals

Metric Macara El Nacional
HATHAT
GF total212647172441
GF avg1.21.41.30.91.31.1
GA total191534263359
GA avg1.10.80.91.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacaraEl Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%67%61%78%
1.536%17%36%44%
2.519%6%17%22%
3.56%6%0%14%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacaraEl Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712538
Failed to score56118614

Penalties

MetricMacaraEl Nacional
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricMacaraEl Nacional
Wins33
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-42-00-55-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against4455

Model comparison

MetricMacaraEl Nacional
Form63%37%
Att63%37%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Macara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ Betano
Away8.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Macara = 1.62 (league 1.33), El Nacional = 1.44 (league 0.99)

El Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macara 0 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 33.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1