Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 20:30 •
Estadio Bellavista
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.29)
1.44 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 23.7% | 32.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| El Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Macara | 0 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 70% |
| Defense | 80% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 33% | 44% | 39% | 39% | 22% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 28% | 31% | 11% | 39% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 28% | 31% | 50% | 39% | 44% |
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El NacionalLDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLDLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 26 | 47 | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Macara | El Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 67% | 61% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 17% | 36% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 6% | 17% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Macara | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 85% | 15% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ Betano
Away8.25 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
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