Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.36) 1.66 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 24.4% 50.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Aucas
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 6.6% 11.0% 9.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.7% 6.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl NacionalAucas
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack88%100%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.417 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Nacional Aucas
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%21%30%53%28%41%
Draws11%37%24%26%28%27%
Loses50%42%46%21%44%32%

Form: El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLDLWDWLL • Aucas: WLDDWLDWLWWWDLWDLWLWLWLWLLLDDDLDWDWWW

League goals

Metric El Nacional Aucas
HATHAT
GF total172441362157
GF avg0.91.31.11.91.21.5
GA total263561212849
GA avg1.41.81.61.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl NacionalAucas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%78%89%68%
1.535%46%41%35%
2.516%22%8%19%
3.50%14%5%5%
4.50%5%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl NacionalAucas
HATHAT
Clean sheets5388412
Failed to score8715224

Penalties

MetricEl NacionalAucas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEl NacionalAucas
Wins33
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-38-00-2
Biggest losses0-55-01-46-2
Goals For3382
Goals Against5546

Model comparison

MetricEl NacionalAucas
Form35%65%
Att29%71%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aucas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.10 @ Unibet
Draw4.47 @ Pinnacle
Away1.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Nacional = 1.06 (league 1.36), Aucas = 1.66 (league 1.01)

Aucas
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 6.6% 11.0% 9.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.7% 6.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 50.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1