Liga Pro — Ecuador
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio George Capwell
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.38) 1.52 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.9% 25.6% 60.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Macara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emelec 0 12.2% 18.6% 14.2% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmelecMacara
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack27%91%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emelec Macara
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%37%38%37%44%41%
Draws28%26%27%32%28%30%
Loses33%37%35%32%28%30%

Form: Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLWDWDWLLLW • Macara: WWDDDLLLDLLLDWDLWDWLLLDDWWDWDWWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Emelec Macara
HATHAT
GF total181836232649
GF avg1.00.91.01.21.41.3
GA total192342191534
GA avg1.11.21.11.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmelecMacara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%68%70%65%
1.522%32%38%16%
2.58%8%19%5%
3.55%5%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmelecMacara
HATHAT
Clean sheets75126713
Failed to score77145611

Penalties

MetricEmelecMacara
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total86

Streaks

MetricEmelecMacara
Wins33
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-43-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-01-42-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricEmelecMacara
Form33%67%
Att23%77%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total26.5%73.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Macara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emelec = 0.58 (league 1.38), Macara = 1.52 (league 1.01)

Macara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emelec 0 12.2% 18.6% 14.2% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 60.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1