Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 21:30 • Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.38) 0.80 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 29.8% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 13.3% 10.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo CuencaEmelec
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack54%54%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Cuenca Emelec
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins42%40%41%40%37%38%
Draws21%20%21%25%26%26%
Loses37%40%38%35%37%36%

Form: Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWLLLWLLLWLDW • Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLWDWDWLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Cuenca Emelec
HATHAT
GF total262046231841
GF avg1.41.01.21.20.91.1
GA total172340212344
GA avg0.91.21.01.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo CuencaEmelec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%59%62%67%
1.528%31%23%33%
2.510%10%10%8%
3.55%3%8%5%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo CuencaEmelec
HATHAT
Clean sheets79168513
Failed to score65118715

Penalties

MetricDeportivo CuencaEmelec
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricDeportivo CuencaEmelec
Wins43
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-35-02-4
Biggest losses0-34-00-43-0
Goals For5354
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo CuencaEmelec
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Deportivo Cuenca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 888Sport
Draw4.85 @ Betano
Away8.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Cuenca = 1.21 (league 1.38), Emelec = 0.80 (league 1.01)

Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 13.3% 10.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.8% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1