Liga Pro — Ecuador
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 21:00 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.38) 0.97 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 24.3% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Delfin SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 7.1% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl NacionalDelfin SC
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack38%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Nacional Delfin SC
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins42%20%31%25%11%18%
Draws11%35%23%40%37%38%
Loses47%45%46%35%53%44%

Form: El Nacional: LDDLLLWLLWDWDWWLLDWLDDLLWWWLLLDLWDWLLWL • Delfin SC: LWDLDLDLDLDWWWDWDWLDLLDDLLDDLDDLLWLLLDL

League goals

Metric El Nacional Delfin SC
HATHAT
GF total202444171330
GF avg1.11.21.10.90.70.8
GA total274067233962
GA avg1.42.01.71.22.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl NacionalDelfin SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%79%46%69%
1.536%46%26%41%
2.518%23%5%26%
3.50%15%0%10%
4.50%8%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl NacionalDelfin SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5388412
Failed to score8816111021

Penalties

MetricEl NacionalDelfin SC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricEl NacionalDelfin SC
Wins33
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-55-00-48-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against5548

Model comparison

MetricEl NacionalDelfin SC
Form86%14%
Att100%0%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : El Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Betano
Away4.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Nacional = 1.67 (league 1.38), Delfin SC = 0.97 (league 1.01)

Delfin SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Nacional 0 7.1% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1