Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 00:00 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.31) 1.04 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 27.8% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 9.6% 10.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%58%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad Catolica LDU de Quito
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins53%33%43%47%47%47%
Draws40%27%33%47%13%30%
Loses7%40%23%7%40%23%

Form: Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWW • LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Universidad Catolica LDU de Quito
HATHAT
GF total292958301848
GF avg1.91.91.92.01.21.6
GA total142539171431
GA avg0.91.71.31.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%77%83%73%
1.550%33%47%20%
2.530%17%23%7%
3.513%3%7%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
HATHAT
Clean sheets527448
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
Wins33
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-22-43-1
Goals For6444
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
Form65%35%
Att63%37%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals48%52%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad Catolica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad Catolica = 1.30 (league 1.31), LDU de Quito = 1.04 (league 1.04)

LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 9.6% 10.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1