Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.31) 1.00 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.6% 24.2% 22.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Orense SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 6.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertadOrense SC
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack33%47%
Defense73%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertad Orense SC
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins60%20%40%60%27%43%
Draws0%67%33%27%27%27%
Loses40%13%27%13%47%30%

Form: Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDW • Orense SC: LWLWLWDWLLDWWWLWDWWLDWLDLWDWDD

League goals

Metric Libertad Orense SC
HATHAT
GF total251742221234
GF avg1.71.11.41.50.81.1
GA total191736122032
GA avg1.31.11.20.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertadOrense SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%63%70%
1.537%27%30%23%
2.517%10%13%7%
3.57%3%3%7%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertadOrense SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets336459
Failed to score3363811

Penalties

MetricLibertadOrense SC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricLibertadOrense SC
Wins33
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-12-5
Biggest losses1-42-01-24-0
Goals For4335
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricLibertadOrense SC
Form47%53%
Att42%58%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Libertad or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertad = 1.68 (league 1.31), Orense SC = 1.00 (league 1.04)

Orense SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 6.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1