Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35) 1.39 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 27.4% 48.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona SC 0 10.2% 14.2% 9.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.1% 5.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelona SCLibertad
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack67%56%
Defense22%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona SC Libertad
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins38%63%50%59%20%41%
Draws25%13%19%6%67%34%
Loses38%25%31%35%13%25%

Form: Barcelona SC: WWWLWWLWWWDWDLLLWDDDWLWWLWLWWDLL • Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWD

League goals

Metric Barcelona SC Libertad
HATHAT
GF total182846281745
GF avg1.11.81.41.61.11.4
GA total211839201737
GA avg1.31.11.21.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelona SCLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%59%81%78%
1.538%38%38%25%
2.516%22%16%9%
3.59%3%6%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelona SCLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713437
Failed to score527336

Penalties

MetricBarcelona SCLibertad
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total75

Streaks

MetricBarcelona SCLibertad
Wins33
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-11-2
Biggest losses0-43-01-42-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricBarcelona SCLibertad
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Barcelona SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away5.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona SC = 0.89 (league 1.35), Libertad = 1.39 (league 1.03)

Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona SC 0 10.2% 14.2% 9.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.1% 5.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 48.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1