Liga Pro — Ecuador
Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.36) 1.03 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 28.6% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente del ValleLDU de Quito
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack38%92%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente del Valle LDU de Quito
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%68%57%58%39%49%
Draws44%21%32%37%22%30%
Loses11%11%11%5%39%22%

Form: Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWDDWWWLDLD • LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLWDWWWDWL

League goals

Metric Independiente del Valle LDU de Quito
HATHAT
GF total273865422365
GF avg1.52.01.82.21.31.8
GA total141630192039
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente del ValleLDU de Quito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%68%86%73%
1.554%14%54%24%
2.527%0%27%5%
3.58%0%8%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente del ValleLDU de Quito
HATHAT
Clean sheets66126410
Failed to score325145

Penalties

MetricIndependiente del ValleLDU de Quito
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricIndependiente del ValleLDU de Quito
Wins53
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-02-43-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente del ValleLDU de Quito
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or LDU de Quito

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente del Valle = 1.22 (league 1.36), LDU de Quito = 1.03 (league 1.01)

LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 10.6% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1