Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.35) 1.22 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 21.5% 22.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 4.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack67%47%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente del Valle Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
Played151833171734
Wins53%72%64%47%29%38%
Draws40%22%30%47%29%38%
Loses7%6%6%6%41%24%

Form: Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWDDWWW • Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWWDDLD

League goals

Metric Independiente del Valle Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
GF total263763323163
GF avg1.72.11.91.91.81.9
GA total111425172845
GA avg0.70.80.81.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%67%94%79%
1.561%9%47%35%
2.530%0%26%15%
3.59%0%12%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611527
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
Wins53
Draws33
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-20-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-34-2
Goals For4464
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
Form65%35%
Att59%41%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente del Valle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente del Valle = 2.01 (league 1.35), Universidad Catolica = 1.22 (league 1.03)

Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 4.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1