Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.38) 1.09 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.9% 23.6% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 5.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.2% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack93%33%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LDU de Quito Libertad
HATHAT
Played171633181634
Wins53%44%48%56%19%38%
Draws41%19%30%6%63%32%
Loses6%38%21%39%19%29%

Form: LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLWDWW • Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLL

League goals

Metric LDU de Quito Libertad
HATHAT
GF total372057291746
GF avg2.21.31.71.61.11.4
GA total171633231841
GA avg1.01.01.01.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLDU de QuitoLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%70%79%79%
1.552%21%35%26%
2.527%6%15%12%
3.59%3%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410437
Failed to score145347

Penalties

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Wins33
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-11-2
Biggest losses2-43-11-42-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Form59%41%
Att74%26%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Winner : LDU de Quito

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.60 @ Betano
Away8.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LDU de Quito = 1.75 (league 1.38), Libertad = 1.09 (league 1.01)

Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 5.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.2% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 23.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1