Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.33) 1.06 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 22.9% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 5.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 10.8% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.9% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack93%33%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LDU de Quito Libertad
HATHAT
Played171633181634
Wins53%44%48%56%19%38%
Draws41%19%30%6%63%32%
Loses6%38%21%39%19%29%

Form: LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLWDWW • Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLL

League goals

Metric LDU de Quito Libertad
HATHAT
GF total372057291746
GF avg2.21.31.71.61.11.4
GA total171633231841
GA avg1.01.01.01.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLDU de QuitoLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%70%79%79%
1.552%21%35%26%
2.527%6%15%12%
3.59%3%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410437
Failed to score145347

Penalties

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Wins33
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-11-2
Biggest losses2-43-11-42-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricLDU de QuitoLibertad
Form59%41%
Att74%26%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Winner : LDU de Quito

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.60 @ Betano
Away8.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LDU de Quito = 1.82 (league 1.33), Libertad = 1.06 (league 1.03)

Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 5.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 10.8% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.9% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1