Liga Pro — Ecuador
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 21:30 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.35) 1.08 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 24.1% 24.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 6.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLibertad
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack35%25%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad Catolica Libertad
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%33%40%56%18%37%
Draws47%28%37%6%59%31%
Loses6%39%23%39%24%31%

Form: Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWWDDLDW • Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Universidad Catolica Libertad
HATHAT
GF total323365291847
GF avg1.91.81.91.61.11.3
GA total172845232144
GA avg1.01.61.31.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad CatolicaLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%77%80%80%
1.549%34%34%29%
2.526%14%14%14%
3.511%3%6%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets538437
Failed to score112347

Penalties

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLibertad
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total85

Streaks

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLibertad
Wins33
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-44-11-2
Biggest losses0-34-21-43-1
Goals For6443
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad CatolicaLibertad
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad Catolica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ Unibet
Draw5.40 @ Betano
Away8.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad Catolica = 1.69 (league 1.35), Libertad = 1.08 (league 1.01)

Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 6.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1