Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.36) 2.07 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 21.1% 53.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.3%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 3.5% 7.2% 7.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.5% 9.3% 9.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack100%80%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LDU de Quito Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
Played181735171835
Wins56%41%49%47%72%60%
Draws39%24%31%41%22%31%
Loses6%35%20%12%6%9%

Form: LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLWDWWWD • Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWDDWWWLD

League goals

Metric LDU de Quito Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
GF total402262263763
GF avg2.21.31.81.52.11.8
GA total181836131427
GA avg1.01.11.00.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%86%66%
1.554%23%57%11%
2.529%6%29%0%
3.59%3%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets64106612
Failed to score145325

Penalties

MetricLDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricLDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Wins35
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-00-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-22-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricLDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Form52%48%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : LDU de Quito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LDU de Quito = 1.29 (league 1.36), Independiente del Valle = 2.07 (league 1.01)

Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 3.5% 7.2% 7.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.5% 9.3% 9.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 53.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1