Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.36) 2.18 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.8% 20.3% 55.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.8%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 3.1% 6.8% 7.4% 5.4% 2.9% 1.3%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.5% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack50%75%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertad Barcelona SC
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins56%17%36%39%61%50%
Draws6%61%33%28%17%22%
Loses39%22%31%33%22%28%

Form: Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLLLD • Barcelona SC: WWWLWWLWWWDWDLLLWDDDWLWWLWLWWDLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Libertad Barcelona SC
HATHAT
GF total291948213152
GF avg1.61.11.31.21.71.4
GA total232245232043
GA avg1.31.21.31.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertadBarcelona SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%81%61%
1.533%28%39%36%
2.514%14%14%19%
3.56%3%8%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets4377714
Failed to score347527

Penalties

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total59

Streaks

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Wins33
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-00-5
Biggest losses1-43-10-43-0
Goals For4335
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Form20%80%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona SC

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertad = 1.29 (league 1.36), Barcelona SC = 2.18 (league 1.01)

Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 3.1% 6.8% 7.4% 5.4% 2.9% 1.3%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.5% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.8% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1