Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 21:30 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.38) 0.69 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 22.0% 13.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Orense SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 8.1% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 10.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad CatolicaOrense SC
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack50%33%
Defense58%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad Catolica Orense SC
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins44%33%39%56%22%39%
Draws50%28%39%22%28%25%
Loses6%39%22%22%50%36%

Form: Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWWDDLDWD • Orense SC: LWLWLWDWLLDWWWLWDWWLDWLDLWDWDDLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Universidad Catolica Orense SC
HATHAT
GF total333366261238
GF avg1.81.81.81.40.71.1
GA total182846172643
GA avg1.01.61.30.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad CatolicaOrense SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%78%61%72%
1.547%33%28%31%
2.525%14%11%8%
3.511%3%3%8%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad CatolicaOrense SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5384610
Failed to score11231114

Penalties

MetricUniversidad CatolicaOrense SC
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total87

Streaks

MetricUniversidad CatolicaOrense SC
Wins33
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-43-12-5
Biggest losses0-34-21-24-0
Goals For6435
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad CatolicaOrense SC
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h62%38%
Goals65%35%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad Catolica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Betano
Away7.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad Catolica = 1.82 (league 1.38), Orense SC = 0.69 (league 1.01)

Orense SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 8.1% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 10.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 13.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1