Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.38) 2.32 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 19.5% 55.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
7.9%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona SC 0 2.5% 5.7% 6.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
1 3.4% 7.9% 9.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.5% 6.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack88%63%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona SC Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%58%49%42%33%38%
Draws28%21%24%53%28%41%
Loses33%21%27%5%39%22%

Form: Barcelona SC: WWWLWWLWWWDWDLLLWDDDWLWWLWLWWDLLWDWDD • Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWWDDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Barcelona SC Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
GF total213253333366
GF avg1.21.71.41.71.81.8
GA total232144182846
GA avg1.31.11.20.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%62%92%76%
1.538%35%46%32%
2.514%19%24%14%
3.58%3%11%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714639
Failed to score527213

Penalties

MetricBarcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total98

Streaks

MetricBarcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
Wins33
Draws33
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-56-20-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-34-2
Goals For3564
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricBarcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Barcelona SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona SC = 1.39 (league 1.38), Universidad Catolica = 2.32 (league 1.01)

Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona SC 0 2.5% 5.7% 6.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
1 3.4% 7.9% 9.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.5% 6.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1