Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.34) 1.57 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.8% 24.6% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertadLDU de Quito
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack83%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertad LDU de Quito
HATHAT
Played191938191938
Wins53%16%34%58%37%47%
Draws11%63%37%37%26%32%
Loses37%21%29%5%37%21%

Form: Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLLLDDD • LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLWDWWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Libertad LDU de Quito
HATHAT
GF total302050422365
GF avg1.61.11.32.21.21.7
GA total242347192039
GA avg1.31.21.21.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertadLDU de Quito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%84%71%
1.532%26%53%24%
2.513%13%26%5%
3.55%3%8%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertadLDU de Quito
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376511
Failed to score347156

Penalties

MetricLibertadLDU de Quito
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricLibertadLDU de Quito
Wins33
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-00-4
Biggest losses1-43-12-43-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricLibertadLDU de Quito
Form27%73%
Att38%62%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or LDU de Quito

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.50 @ Betano
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away1.61 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertad = 1.32 (league 1.34), LDU de Quito = 1.57 (league 0.99)

LDU de Quito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.5% 9.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 42.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1