Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 21:30 • Olimpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.38) 1.78 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 23.2% 55.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 6.3% 11.2% 10.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack83%33%
Defense50%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad Catolica Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
Played191938191938
Wins42%32%37%42%68%55%
Draws53%32%42%47%21%34%
Loses5%37%21%11%11%11%

Form: Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWWDDLDWDDD • Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWDDWWWLDLDD

League goals

Metric Universidad Catolica Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
GF total333467273865
GF avg1.71.81.81.42.01.7
GA total182947141630
GA avg0.91.51.20.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%76%84%66%
1.545%32%53%13%
2.524%13%26%0%
3.511%3%8%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets6397613
Failed to score213426

Penalties

MetricUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total84

Streaks

MetricUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
Wins35
Draws33
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-20-22-0
Goals For6444
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del Valle
Form70%30%
Att71%29%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h71%29%
Goals54%46%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Universidad Catolica or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad Catolica = 0.98 (league 1.38), Independiente del Valle = 1.78 (league 1.01)

Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 6.3% 11.2% 10.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1