Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.38) 1.78 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 19.5% 28.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.6% 5.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack35%24%
Defense59%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LDU de Quito Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins58%35%46%40%32%36%
Draws37%25%31%50%32%41%
Loses5%40%23%10%37%23%

Form: LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDWLWDWWWDWLDL • Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDWWDDLDWDDDL

League goals

Metric LDU de Quito Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
GF total422466333467
GF avg2.21.21.71.71.81.7
GA total192241192948
GA avg1.01.11.11.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%72%90%77%
1.551%26%44%31%
2.526%5%23%13%
3.58%3%10%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511639
Failed to score156314

Penalties

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Wins33
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-20-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-34-2
Goals For4464
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Form45%55%
Att60%40%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : LDU de Quito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 888Sport
Draw3.90 @ 10Bet
Away5.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LDU de Quito = 2.38 (league 1.38), Universidad Catolica = 1.78 (league 1.01)

Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.6% 5.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 28.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1