Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio 9 de Mayo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.38) 0.98 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 28.0% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 10.2% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.0% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack24%35%
Defense71%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orense SC Libertad
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins58%20%38%55%16%36%
Draws21%30%26%10%63%36%
Loses21%50%36%35%21%28%

Form: Orense SC: LWLWLWDWLLDWWWLWDWWLDWLDLWDWDDLLWLLDDWL • Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLLLDDDW

League goals

Metric Orense SC Libertad
HATHAT
GF total281341322052
GF avg1.50.71.11.61.11.3
GA total182846252348
GA avg0.91.41.21.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrense SCLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%72%82%82%
1.528%31%33%26%
2.510%8%13%13%
3.53%8%5%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrense SCLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711437
Failed to score31215347

Penalties

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total86

Streaks

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Wins33
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-54-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-43-1
Goals For3543
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricOrense SCLibertad
Form45%55%
Att40%60%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Libertad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away4.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orense SC = 1.30 (league 1.38), Libertad = 0.98 (league 1.01)

Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 10.2% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.0% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 28.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1