Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.35) 1.16 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 19.5% 18.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Manta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mushuc Runa SC 0 3.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMushuc Runa SCManta FC
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack100%56%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mushuc Runa SC Manta FC
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins44%7%26%31%7%19%
Draws19%20%19%44%27%35%
Loses38%73%55%25%67%45%

Form: Mushuc Runa SC: WLWDLDDWLLWLLLLLLLDDLLLLWLWLDWW • Manta FC: LLDWLDDWLDLWDDDWDLLWLLLDDLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Mushuc Runa SC Manta FC
HATHAT
GF total251540261036
GF avg1.61.01.31.60.71.2
GA total272451252853
GA avg1.71.61.61.61.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMushuc Runa SCManta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%84%68%90%
1.529%48%35%52%
2.510%19%6%23%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.53%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMushuc Runa SCManta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets415303
Failed to score2463710

Penalties

MetricMushuc Runa SCManta FC
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricMushuc Runa SCManta FC
Wins11
Draws23
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-54-21-2
Biggest losses0-53-12-44-1
Goals For4542
Goals Against5344

Model comparison

MetricMushuc Runa SCManta FC
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total68.2%32.0%

Advice: Winner : Mushuc Runa SC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away6.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mushuc Runa SC = 2.24 (league 1.35), Manta FC = 1.16 (league 1.03)

Manta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mushuc Runa SC 0 3.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 18.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1