Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Jocay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.35) 1.40 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 23.1% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mushuc Runa SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manta FC 0 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManta FCMushuc Runa SC
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack33%67%
Defense33%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manta FC Mushuc Runa SC
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins31%6%18%41%6%24%
Draws44%29%36%24%25%24%
Loses25%65%45%35%69%52%

Form: Manta FC: LLDWLDDWLDLWDDDWDLLWLLLDDLLDLLWDL • Mushuc Runa SC: WLWDLDDWLLWLLLLLLLDDLLLLWLWLDWWDD

League goals

Metric Manta FC Mushuc Runa SC
HATHAT
GF total261137261541
GF avg1.60.61.11.50.91.2
GA total253156282452
GA avg1.61.81.71.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManta FCMushuc Runa SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%91%79%82%
1.533%52%27%45%
2.56%21%9%18%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.50%0%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManta FCMushuc Runa SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets303426
Failed to score3811257

Penalties

MetricManta FCMushuc Runa SC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricManta FCMushuc Runa SC
Wins12
Draws32
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-10-5
Biggest losses2-44-10-53-1
Goals For4245
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricManta FCMushuc Runa SC
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mushuc Runa SC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manta FC = 1.77 (league 1.35), Mushuc Runa SC = 1.40 (league 1.03)

Mushuc Runa SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manta FC 0 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1